Good morning! Montenegro suspended its statehood yesterday and proved once again how far the servitude of Dritan Abazovic goes.
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Dritan’s swan song
Just for this not to be misinterpreted, it’s not my intention to use this title to allude to the physical disappearance of Mr. Abazovic. I am referring exclusively to his career. Anyone who would think of harming Mr. Abazovic at any time, and especially at this time, would be working for the interests of Montenegro’s worst enemies. Because now, when he has done this, and when it is almost certain that his career as prime minister is over, Vucic no longer needs him at all. They would only need him as a sacrifice, with which they would bury any hope that Montenegro would in due time return to the path it confidently set out on in 2006.
I wanted us to think about this, especially because the Prime Minister yesterday directly accused the Minister of Defense of being part of some conspiracy that conspired to take the Prime Minister’s head off, and he told the Minister of Foreign Affairs to tell the Minister of Defense that he should again tell some grey eminence, that the grey eminence will end up in prison if he doesn’t hurry up with his promise to that “heads will be cut off in the government”.
The Minister of Defense responded to this by duly informing Special State Prosecutor’s Office about everything.
Organized and secret Agreement signing
Although we learned last week from one of Dodik’s portals the time and place of the Agreement signing, the prime minister convinced us that it was disinformation.
As Rasko Konjevic says, since he didn’t know about the arrival of Porfirije, it is possible that the prime minister himself was not informed, but that they woke him up in the morning and said “we are coming”.
We still don’t know how Porfirije got or flew here, but his flight was missing yesterday from the FlightRadar app, which reads flight information from active transponders on every aircraft, military or civilian. After I asked FlightRadar via Twitter to clarify how this is possible and whether it is legal, they replied that the transponder must be on during the flight, and that it is mandatory in most airspaces.
FlightRadar was in the center of world media attention just one day earlier, when 700,000 people followed Nancy Pelosi’s flight from Malaysia to Taiwan at the same moment.
The secrecy of this undertaking also made the borders of this country suspended for a short time yesterday, and its Constitution and laws were breached. Namely, the Serbian patriarch and his entourage crossed the state border yesterday without a passport and customs control, so they did not even legally reside in Montenegro. Because of this, the regional head of the border police, Vasko Akovic, allegedly resigned yesterday.
Where to next?
What should we do? What could we do? I think that Sasa Zekovic gives a good answer with his personal example and action of non-violent resistance. But Montenegrins show that they don’t care about that, at least until the parties tell them otherwise.
With the minority government, we can clearly see it now, we have not achieved anything. As Boris Darmanovic puts it, as if every time we change the government, we choose the worst. That’s how it was in 2020, and that’s how it was in April this year. I did nothing wrong when I wrote then that I was afraid that we would make Zdravko Krivokapic out of mud. Zdravko turned out to be a greater patriot than Dritan Abazovic, although Krivokapic would never admit it.
We have lost almost a year on a project that did not bring us anything new, except that it anesthetized the resistance and employed the party soldiers.
Now we look with hope to the Democrats and hope for a political miracle. DPS and SDP will convince us not to worry and that everything is under control. I don’t trust them, although I would like to.
What is a consolation prize is that Abazovic has finished his career swan song with this. He will no longer be prime minister, unless Becic has gone mad. There are two options. The first one is that the government will fall on 19 August, when the session is scheduled. After that, elections would be called. Another option is that there will be a rearrangement of the majority in which Aleksa Becic will take over the prime minister’s chair.
Anything else would mean that the Democrats are only pretending their autonomy in relation to Belgrade, the Serbian Orthodox Church, and embassies.
That’s it for today. We wish you a pleasant rest of the day.
Kind regards,
Ljubomir Filipovic, CdM analyst
